Utica Comets at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Utica Comets

4:1

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

UTCCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

68%32%

xG: 3.02.4
High danger: 72
Chances: 1111
Shots: 2327

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal27

11Scoring chances11

7High-danger chances2

2.99Expected goals2.44

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	4–11	4–6	3–1	1.0–1.1
2nd	10–8	2–1	2–0	1.0–0.5
3rd	9–8	5–4	2–1	1.0–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 26
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.44
GSAx: +1.44

Ivan Fedotov

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 19
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.99
GSAx: -1.01

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:05Penalty
1st 11:40Marc McLaughlin (1–0)high · tip · 9 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
2nd 0:52Penalty
2nd 2:47Penalty
2nd 4:08Jonathan Gruden (2–0)4v5 · low · 22 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
2nd 11:49Calen Addison (3–0)low · slap · 52 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
2nd 15:13Penalty
3rd 4:21Penalty
3rd 8:02Penalty
3rd 12:40Jack Williams (3–1)medium · tip · 14 ft · beat Nico Daws
3rd 17:51Nathan Légaré (4–1)empty net · low · 85 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov