Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

1:5

Final

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

LVWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

14%86%

xG: 2.54.0
High danger: 27
Chances: 619
Shots: 3134

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

WBS above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal34

6Scoring chances19

2High-danger chances7

2.49Expected goals3.97

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–6	3–5	1–2	0.9–0.9
2nd	13–18	1–10	0–3	1.0–2.1
3rd	7–10	2–4	1–2	0.6–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LV	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carson Bjarnason

Shots faced: 34
Saves: 29
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.97
GSAx: -1.03

Joel Blomqvist

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 30
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.49
GSAx: +1.49

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:37Penalty
1st 4:41Penalty
1st 10:28Joona Koppanen (0–1)medium · 19 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
1st 13:13Chase Pietila (0–2)low · 12 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
1st 18:05Tanner Howe (0–3)high · 12 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
2nd 13:37Penalty
2nd 14:20Penalty
2nd 17:12Penalty
2nd 18:24Aidan McDonough (0–4)5v4 · medium · 28 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
2nd 18:53Penalty
3rd 4:20Rafaël Harvey-Pinard (0–5)high · 24 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
3rd 10:39Penalty
3rd 15:35Penalty
3rd 18:42Zayde Wisdom (1–5)low · 59 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist