AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 29

Milwaukee Admirals at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Milwaukee Admirals
3:2
Final / OT
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

MILCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
74%26%
xG
3.41.9
High danger
62
Chances
147
Shots
3119

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal19
14Scoring chances7
6High-danger chances2
3.45Expected goals1.89

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–93–43–20.6–1.0
2nd9–65–21–00.9–0.6
3rd17–35–11–01.5–0.2
OT1–11–01–00.4–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MIL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MIL116:56 of the 3rd3:041:55+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
3.45
GSAx
+0.45
Magnus Chrona
Shots faced
19
Saves
17
Allowed
2
xGA
1.89
GSAx
-0.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:19Penalty
  • 1st 10:39Penalty
  • 1st 14:09Felix Unger Sörum (0–1)low · 16 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 1:02Penalty
  • 2nd 3:09Penalty
  • 2nd 7:26Gleb Trikozov (0–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 11:23Penalty
  • 2nd 14:07Penalty
  • 2nd 16:23Penalty
  • 3rd 4:52Penalty
  • 3rd 4:52Penalty
  • 3rd 7:58Penalty
  • 3rd 7:58Penalty
  • 3rd 7:58Penalty
  • 3rd 7:58Penalty
  • 3rd 9:45Jordan Oesterle (1–2)low · 49 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 18:51Jordan Oesterle (2–2)medium · 51 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • OT 2:59Tanner Molendyk (3–2)grade A · 29 ft · beat Cayden Primeau