AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 29

San Diego Gulls at Abbotsford Canucks

Rogers Forum · Abbotsford, BC

San Diego Gulls
3:5
Final
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

SDABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
2.62.4
High danger
37
Chances
810
Shots
3221

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal21
8Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances7
2.62Expected goals2.36

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–84–22–21.3–0.8
2nd11–71–50–40.6–1.0
3rd7–63–31–10.7–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD212:51 of the 3rd7:097:09+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jiří Patera
Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
2.62
GSAx
-0.38
Tomas Suchanek
Shots faced
21
Saves
16
Allowed
5
xGA
2.36
GSAx
-2.64

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:32Ben Berard (0–1)high · 12 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 1st 6:44Penalty
  • 1st 12:11Nils Åman (0–2)low · 21 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 1st 12:57Penalty
  • 1st 18:59Penalty
  • 1st 19:59Sasha Pastujov (1–2)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 1:44Arshdeep Bains (1–3)high · 13 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 14:08Drew Elliott (2–3)medium · 24 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 19:21Penalty
  • 3rd 0:57Sasha Pastujov (3–3)5v4 · high · 27 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 3:51Penalty
  • 3rd 6:59Penalty
  • 3rd 8:51Danila Klimovich (3–4)5v4 · medium · 30 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 3rd 12:51Bennett Schimek (3–5)low · 30 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 3rd 16:59Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Penalty