Texas Stars at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Texas Stars

2:1

Final

San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

TEXSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

27%73%

xG: 2.53.7
High danger: 23
Chances: 312
Shots: 3444

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SJ above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal44

3Scoring chances12

2High-danger chances3

2.50Expected goals3.67

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	5–14	0–3	0–0	0.2–1.1
2nd	15–18	2–6	1–1	1.0–1.5
3rd	14–12	1–3	1–2	1.2–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SJ	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 44
Saves: 43
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.67
GSAx: +2.67

Laurent Brossoit

Shots faced: 34
Saves: 32
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.50
GSAx: +0.50

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 15:12Penalty
1st 16:10Penalty
2nd 5:37Filip Bystedt (0–1)low · 32 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
2nd 7:21Penalty
2nd 14:22Penalty
3rd 1:24Cross Hanas (1–1)grade A · rebound · 17 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
3rd 1:40Dylan Hryckowian (2–1)low · 37 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
3rd 10:50Penalty
3rd 19:15Penalty
3rd 19:15Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty