AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 3

Milwaukee Admirals at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Milwaukee Admirals
3:6
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

MILCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
23%77%
xG
2.44.0
High danger
29
Chances
1116
Shots
2633

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal33
11Scoring chances16
2High-danger chances9
2.41Expected goals3.99

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–103–41–20.8–1.3
2nd6–155–71–30.8–1.5
3rd12–83–50–40.8–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MIL−3−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MIL30:00 of the 3rd20:0017:50+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matthew Murray
Shots faced
33
Saves
27
Allowed
6
xGA
3.99
GSAx
-2.01
Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.41
GSAx
-0.59

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:25James Malatesta (0–1)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 1st 4:36Penalty
  • 1st 4:36Penalty
  • 1st 4:36Penalty
  • 1st 4:36Penalty
  • 1st 9:14Penalty
  • 2nd 5:47Penalty
  • 2nd 5:47Penalty
  • 2nd 5:47Penalty
  • 2nd 5:47Penalty
  • 2nd 9:40Hudson Fasching (0–2)high · 9 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 10:08Penalty
  • 2nd 10:08Penalty
  • 2nd 11:22Roman Ahcan (0–3)low · 40 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 12:15Penalty
  • 2nd 13:22Penalty
  • 2nd 13:22Penalty
  • 2nd 16:03Brendan Gaunce (0–4)medium · 25 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 19:44Massimo Rizzo (1–4)medium · 28 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 2:35Penalty
  • 3rd 2:48Jake Lucchini (2–4)5v4 · low · 48 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 4:58Justin Pearson (2–5)medium · 31 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 6:50Penalty
  • 3rd 8:57James Malatesta (2–6)high · tip · 11 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 14:17Penalty
  • 3rd 14:17Penalty
  • 3rd 14:17Penalty
  • 3rd 14:17Penalty
  • 3rd 14:17Penalty
  • 3rd 17:21Penalty
  • 3rd 17:21Penalty
  • 3rd 17:33Zack Hayes (3–6)low · 48 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko