Chicago Wolves at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Chicago Wolves

1:3

Final

Texas Stars

The sheet

CHITEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

91%9%

xG: 3.31.5
High danger: 50
Chances: 146
Shots: 3218

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

TEX above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal18

14Scoring chances6

5High-danger chances0

3.35Expected goals1.48

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–8	4–1	1–0	0.8–0.5
2nd	8–3	3–2	1–0	0.7–0.4
3rd	17–7	7–3	3–0	1.8–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CHI	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 31
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.35
GSAx: +2.35

Cayden Primeau

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 15
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.48
GSAx: -1.52

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 9:36Harrison Scott (0–1)low · 38 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
1st 19:23Penalty
2nd 16:46Penalty
3rd 4:01Penalty
3rd 8:39Penalty
3rd 9:24Noel Gunler (1–1)5v4 · medium · 10 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 9:46Penalty
3rd 9:46Penalty
3rd 14:03Artem Shlaine (1–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
3rd 18:50Harrison Scott (1–3)empty net · low · 87 ft · beat Cayden Primeau