AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 3

Rockford IceHogs at Iowa Wild

Casey’s Center · Des Moines, IA

Rockford IceHogs
5:2
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

RFDIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
81%19%
xG
3.01.4
High danger
52
Chances
115
Shots
2719

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal19
11Scoring chances5
5High-danger chances2
3.02Expected goals1.39

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–92–31–10.6–0.8
2nd11–53–11–11.0–0.3
3rd10–56–13–01.5–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

IA−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
IA212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

William Rousseau
Shots faced
27
Saves
22
Allowed
5
xGA
3.02
GSAx
-1.98
Olivier Rodrigue
Shots faced
19
Saves
17
Allowed
2
xGA
1.39
GSAx
-0.61

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:48Penalty
  • 1st 5:48Penalty
  • 1st 9:03Penalty
  • 1st 12:12Penalty
  • 1st 13:40Nicolas Aubé-Kubel (0–1)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 1st 14:27Penalty
  • 1st 16:42Cavan Fitzgerald (1–1)medium · 20 ft · beat William Rousseau
  • 1st 19:24Brett Seney (2–1)grade A · 11 ft · beat William Rousseau
  • 2nd 0:13Penalty
  • 2nd 2:54Penalty
  • 2nd 2:54Penalty
  • 2nd 2:54Penalty
  • 2nd 2:54Penalty
  • 2nd 2:54Penalty
  • 2nd 3:41Ben Jones (2–2)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 8:48Penalty
  • 2nd 11:05Penalty
  • 2nd 11:05Penalty
  • 2nd 17:05Jake Furlong (3–2)low · 44 ft · beat William Rousseau
  • 3rd 3:25Penalty
  • 3rd 4:39Joey Anderson (4–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat William Rousseau
  • 3rd 8:32Penalty
  • 3rd 17:44Brett Seney (5–2)medium · 27 ft · beat William Rousseau
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty