AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 3

Colorado Eagles at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Colorado Eagles
3:6
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

COLSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
2.53.3
High danger
38
Chances
814
Shots
2935

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal35
8Scoring chances14
3High-danger chances8
2.47Expected goals3.34

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–125–62–41.5–1.3
2nd6–101–30–10.4–0.9
3rd8–132–51–30.5–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL215:15 of the 3rd4:454:45+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kyle Keyser
Shots faced
35
Saves
29
Allowed
6
xGA
3.34
GSAx
-2.66
Laurent Brossoit
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.47
GSAx
-0.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:07Egor Afanasyev (0–1)low · 33 ft · beat Kyle Keyser
  • 1st 4:11Tristen Nielsen (1–1)low · 32 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 5:19Quentin Musty (1–2)low · 47 ft · beat Kyle Keyser
  • 1st 9:19Penalty
  • 1st 10:29Patrick Giles (1–3)4v5 · high · 14 ft · beat Kyle Keyser
  • 1st 11:53Filip Bystedt (1–4)medium · 25 ft · beat Kyle Keyser
  • 1st 15:03Maroš Jedlička (2–4)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 15:16Penalty
  • 1st 18:12Ivan Ivan (3–4)low · 17 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 0:21Penalty
  • 2nd 8:29Penalty
  • 3rd 9:35Penalty
  • 3rd 14:37Penalty
  • 3rd 15:15Quentin Musty (3–5)5v4 · high · 22 ft · beat Kyle Keyser
  • 3rd 16:20Colin White (3–6)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Kyle Keyser
  • 3rd 19:49Penalty