Calgary Wranglers at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Calgary Wranglers

3:4

Final / SO

Laval Rocket

The sheet

CGYLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

11%89%

xG: 1.75.1
High danger: 313
Chances: 419
Shots: 2344

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 69% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal44

4Scoring chances19

3High-danger chances13

1.67Expected goals5.11

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	4–16	1–9	1–6	0.3–2.1
2nd	9–9	2–5	1–3	0.7–1.2
3rd	9–12	1–3	1–2	0.7–1.0
OT	1–7	0–2	0–2	0.1–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CGY	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	1:21	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Arsenii Sergeev

Shots faced: 44
Saves: 41
Allowed: 3
xGA: 5.11
GSAx: +2.11

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 20
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.67
GSAx: -1.33

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:46Penalty
1st 1:46Penalty
1st 8:25Penalty
1st 8:25Penalty
1st 11:23Joshua Roy (0–1)high · tip · 14 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
1st 14:46Penalty
1st 14:46Penalty
1st 14:58Penalty
2nd 2:01Florian Xhekaj (0–2)medium · 20 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
2nd 4:45Penalty
2nd 8:39Penalty
2nd 8:59Penalty
2nd 10:09Rory Kerins (1–2)5v4 · medium · 50 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
2nd 13:34Penalty
2nd 17:47Penalty
2nd 19:45Penalty
3rd 1:11Martin Frk (2–2)5v4 · low · 55 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
3rd 5:33Penalty
3rd 7:21Marc Del Gaizo (2–3)5v4 · low · 62 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
3rd 11:33Penalty
3rd 17:54Penalty
3rd 18:17Martin Frk (3–3)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
OT 1:59Penalty