AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 4

Charlotte Checkers at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Charlotte Checkers
5:1
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

CLTTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
61%39%
xG
3.12.5
High danger
43
Chances
1112
Shots
3225

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal25
11Scoring chances12
4High-danger chances3
3.06Expected goals2.51

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–83–31–01.0–0.6
2nd10–105–73–21.2–1.3
3rd9–73–20–10.9–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TOR−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TOR40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
32
Saves
27
Allowed
5
xGA
3.06
GSAx
-1.94
Louis Domingue
Shots faced
25
Saves
24
Allowed
1
xGA
2.51
GSAx
+1.51

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:08Penalty
  • 1st 8:18Penalty
  • 1st 11:11Robert Mastrosimone (1–0)medium · 15 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 19:36Hunter St. Martin (2–0)high · 6 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 12:12Penalty
  • 2nd 12:12Penalty
  • 2nd 12:23Ludvig Jansson (3–0)medium · wrist · 19 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 12:42Penalty
  • 2nd 15:56Penalty
  • 2nd 17:12Ben Steeves (4–0)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 4:40Jake Livingstone (5–0)low · 57 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 7:43Penalty
  • 3rd 10:25Penalty
  • 3rd 16:44Alex Nylander (5–1)low · 13 ft · beat Louis Domingue