AHLDashboard
Saturday, April 4

Providence Bruins at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Providence Bruins
1:2
Final / OT
Rochester Americans

The sheet

PROROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
1.91.7
High danger
32
Chances
75
Shots
2421

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 39% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal21
7Scoring chances5
3High-danger chances2
1.91Expected goals1.71

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12440100.90.2
2nd4711110.40.4
3rd8622100.60.5
OT0402010.00.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
24
Saves
23
Allowed
1
xGA
1.91
GSAx
+0.91
Shots faced
21
Saves
19
Allowed
2
xGA
1.71
GSAx
-0.29

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:31Anton Wahlberg (0–1)low · 9 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 8:37Penalty
  • 1st 11:53Penalty
  • 1st 12:02Victor Söderström (1–1)5v4 · low · 51 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 18:33Penalty
  • 2nd 6:26Penalty
  • 2nd 19:31Penalty
  • 3rd 7:03Penalty
  • 3rd 11:05Penalty
  • OT 4:17Matteo Costantini (1–2)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Michael DiPietro