AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 4

Belleville Senators at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Belleville Senators
0:4
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

BELUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
18%82%
xG
1.31.8
High danger
01
Chances
36
Shots
2125

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 63% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal25
3Scoring chances6
0High-danger chances1
1.32Expected goals1.85

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–72–30–00.6–0.7
2nd7–120–20–10.4–0.9
3rd7–61–10–00.3–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jackson Parsons
Shots faced
25
Saves
21
Allowed
4
xGA
1.85
GSAx
-2.15
Nico Daws
Shots faced
21
Saves
21
Allowed
0
xGA
1.32
GSAx
+1.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:12Penalty
  • 2nd 6:33Penalty
  • 2nd 8:52Nathan Légaré (0–1)low · 49 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 2nd 10:41Matyas Melovsky (0–2)high · 23 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 3rd 7:00Penalty
  • 3rd 14:57Penalty
  • 3rd 17:52Ryan Schmelzer (0–3)empty net · low · 78 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 3rd 18:58Mike Hardman (0–4)empty net · low · 118 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 3rd 19:30Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty