AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 4

Colorado Eagles at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Colorado Eagles
4:2
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

COLSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
2.32.2
High danger
35
Chances
67
Shots
2926

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal26
6Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances5
2.28Expected goals2.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–71–20–10.9–0.5
2nd6–112–31–30.5–1.1
3rd9–83–22–10.9–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ216:46 of the 3rd3:143:14+0.015 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
2.28
GSAx
-1.72
Trent Miner
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.23
GSAx
+0.23

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:13Penalty
  • 1st 0:13Penalty
  • 1st 1:09Penalty
  • 1st 1:09Penalty
  • 1st 5:30Penalty
  • 1st 9:53Penalty
  • 1st 13:14Penalty
  • 1st 13:35Colin White (0–1)5v4 · medium · 11 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 14:00Alex Barré-Boulet (1–1)low · 55 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 4:09Jayson Megna (2–1)medium · 9 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 7:26Penalty
  • 2nd 10:01Colin White (2–2)high · 9 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 10:38Penalty
  • 2nd 16:29Penalty
  • 2nd 17:24Penalty
  • 2nd 17:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:35Matt DiMarsico (3–2)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 8:49Penalty
  • 3rd 16:46Gavin Brindley (4–2)high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere