AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 4

Milwaukee Admirals at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Milwaukee Admirals
5:6
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

MILCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
2.63.0
High danger
66
Chances
911
Shots
2436

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal36
9Scoring chances11
6High-danger chances6
2.65Expected goals3.02

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–126–35–31.7–1.0
2nd5–160–60–20.3–1.4
3rd8–83–21–10.7–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MIL−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MIL212:09 of the 3rd7:514:47+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Chrona
Shots faced
36
Saves
30
Allowed
6
xGA
3.02
GSAx
-2.98
Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
2.65
GSAx
-2.35

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:05Penalty
  • 1st 3:05Penalty
  • 1st 4:40Penalty
  • 1st 4:40Penalty
  • 1st 5:21Penalty
  • 1st 5:30Luca Marrelli (0–1)5v4 · high · 34 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 7:20Penalty
  • 1st 12:54Penalty
  • 1st 13:50Cole O’Hara (1–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 15:31Oasiz Wiesblatt (2–1)high · tip · 14 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 16:34Riley Bezeau (2–2)high · 8 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 17:11Penalty
  • 1st 19:54Viggo Gustafsson (3–2)low · 67 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 1:28Penalty
  • 2nd 1:28Penalty
  • 2nd 4:04Penalty
  • 2nd 9:50Mikael Pyyhtiä (3–3)medium · 18 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 13:10Mikael Pyyhtiä (3–4)low · 43 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 16:06Hudson Fasching (3–5)low · 34 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 2:52Jake Lucchini (4–5)high · tip · 10 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 3:18Justin Pearson (4–6)low · 62 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 13:52Shawn Element (5–6)medium · backhand · 20 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko