AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 4

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
6:2
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

WBSLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
2.53.0
High danger
45
Chances
1212
Shots
2224

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal24
12Scoring chances12
4High-danger chances5
2.51Expected goals2.96

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–105–43–11.1–0.9
2nd12–96–51–21.2–1.3
3rd3–51–30–20.3–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
2.96
GSAx
+0.96
Aleksei Kolosov
Shots faced
22
Saves
16
Allowed
6
xGA
2.51
GSAx
-3.49

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:17Aidan McDonough (1–0)medium · 18 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 1st 2:35Aaron Huglen (2–0)medium · 15 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 1st 3:39Penalty
  • 1st 3:39Penalty
  • 1st 3:59Aaron Huglen (3–0)high · 20 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 1st 10:05Penalty
  • 1st 15:31Penalty
  • 2nd 4:07Penalty
  • 2nd 7:05Aaron Huglen (4–0)low · 59 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 2nd 10:38Penalty
  • 2nd 11:07Atley Calvert (5–0)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 2nd 11:46Penalty
  • 2nd 12:16Lane Pederson (5–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 21 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 13:56Penalty
  • 3rd 2:29Rutger McGroarty (6–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 7:52Penalty
  • 3rd 7:52Penalty
  • 3rd 10:37Penalty
  • 3rd 13:05Penalty
  • 3rd 14:50Cole Knuble (6–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 16:22Penalty
  • 3rd 19:19Penalty
  • 3rd 19:19Penalty
  • 3rd 19:19Penalty
  • 3rd 19:19Penalty