Coachella Valley Firebirds at Abbotsford Canucks

Rogers Forum · Abbotsford, BC

Coachella Valley Firebirds

3:2

Final / OT

Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

CVABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

67%33%

xG: 2.52.2
High danger: 31
Chances: 68
Shots: 2626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

ABB above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal26

6Scoring chances8

3High-danger chances1

2.51Expected goals2.25

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–6	2–3	1–0	0.6–0.6
2nd	11–7	2–2	0–1	0.9–0.8
3rd	8–13	2–3	2–0	1.0–0.9
OT	1–0	0–0	0–0	0.1–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Ty Young

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 23
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.51
GSAx: -0.49

Victor Östman

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 24
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.25
GSAx: +0.25

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 5:41Penalty
2nd 6:21Carson Rehkopf (1–0)low · 20 ft · beat Ty Young
2nd 9:45Bennett Schimek (1–1)low · 25 ft · beat Victor Östman
2nd 11:58Ben Berard (1–2)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Victor Östman
3rd 3:12J.R. Avon (2–2)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Ty Young
3rd 15:40Penalty
OT 1:20Tyson Jugnauth (3–2)low · 19 ft · beat Ty Young