AHLDashboard
‹ Monday, April 6

Rochester Americans at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Rochester Americans
4:3
Final / SO
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

ROCCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
28%72%
xG
2.24.5
High danger
47
Chances
813
Shots
2038

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal38
8Scoring chances13
4High-danger chances7
2.18Expected goals4.52

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–92–52–10.6–1.3
2nd10–124–22–21.3–1.1
3rd1–141–30–30.1–1.4
OT2–31–30–10.2–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE212:09 of the 3rd7:516:16+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devon Levi
Shots faced
38
Saves
35
Allowed
3
xGA
4.52
GSAx
+1.52
Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
2.18
GSAx
-0.82

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 13:08Penalty
  • 1st 15:37Penalty
  • 2nd 1:44Trevor Kuntar (1–0)medium · snap · 9 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 2:50Matteo Costantini (2–0)low · snap · 29 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 5:13Penalty
  • 2nd 8:50James Malatesta (2–1)grade A · snap · rebound · 10 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 14:28Penalty
  • 3rd 2:14Penalty
  • 3rd 3:40Trevor Kuntar (3–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 43 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 5:34Penalty
  • 3rd 10:30Penalty
  • 3rd 15:43Mikael Pyyhtiä (3–2)high · snap · 11 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 19:38Mikael Pyyhtiä (3–3)grade A · tip · 11 ft · beat Devon Levi