AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, April 7

Iowa Wild at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Iowa Wild
5:2
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

IATEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
29%71%
xG
2.22.7
High danger
36
Chances
69
Shots
2428

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal28
6Scoring chances9
3High-danger chances6
2.17Expected goals2.70

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–73–20–20.7–0.7
2nd10–61–11–10.8–0.4
3rd6–152–62–30.6–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX213:14 of the 3rd6:466:46+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cal Petersen
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.70
GSAx
+0.70
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
2.17
GSAx
-2.83

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:58Hunter Haight (1–0)medium · 14 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 3:44Penalty
  • 1st 13:14Penalty
  • 1st 13:14Penalty
  • 1st 17:32Penalty
  • 2nd 4:26Matt Kiersted (2–0)low · 31 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 5:34Penalty
  • 2nd 7:34Harrison Scott (2–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 25 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 12:37Penalty
  • 2nd 19:24Penalty
  • 3rd 2:38Jack Anderson (2–2)low · 62 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 5:52Penalty
  • 3rd 6:52Hunter Haight (3–2)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 7:14Penalty
  • 3rd 8:58Penalty
  • 3rd 8:58Penalty
  • 3rd 13:14Ben Gleason (4–2)low · 63 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 19:00Gerry Mayhew (5–2)empty net · high · 7 ft · beat Rémi Poirier