AHLDashboard
Wednesday, April 8

Utica Comets at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Utica Comets
3:4
Final / OT
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

UTCTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
29%71%
xG
1.72.5
High danger
24
Chances
88
Shots
1623

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal23
8Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances4
1.66Expected goals2.45

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st51033010.50.9
2nd9652211.00.6
3rd2602010.10.5
OT0101010.00.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
23
Saves
19
Allowed
4
xGA
2.45
GSAx
-1.55
Shots faced
16
Saves
13
Allowed
3
xGA
1.66
GSAx
-1.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:15Matthew Barbolini (0–1)high · rebound · 54 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 1st 6:40Landon Sim (0–2)low · 32 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 1st 12:03Penalty
  • 1st 12:03Penalty
  • 1st 12:55Penalty
  • 2nd 0:43Nathan Légaré (1–2)medium · 29 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 2:24Borya Valis (1–3)medium · 11 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 4:59Angus Crookshank (2–3)medium · 13 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 5:36Penalty
  • 2nd 8:56Penalty
  • 2nd 8:56Penalty
  • 2nd 10:46Penalty
  • 2nd 17:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:04Penalty
  • 3rd 7:18Penalty
  • 3rd 10:37Angus Crookshank (3–3)low · 30 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 3rd 12:08Penalty
  • 3rd 12:08Penalty
  • OT 0:26Ryan Tverberg (3–4)grade A · 40 ft · beat Nico Daws