AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, April 9

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
5:6
Final / OT
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

WBSBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
3.13.1
High danger
73
Chances
1111
Shots
2728

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal28
11Scoring chances11
7High-danger chances3
3.14Expected goals3.08

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–94–33–00.8–0.8
2nd10–64–32–21.2–0.9
3rd9–103–42–11.1–1.1
OT1–30–10–00.0–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI31:55 of the 3rd18:051:16+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
3.08
GSAx
-2.92
Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
27
Saves
22
Allowed
5
xGA
3.14
GSAx
-1.86

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:32Daylan Kuefler (0–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 6:21Finn Harding (1–1)low · 32 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 19:33Penalty
  • 2nd 5:02Tanner Howe (2–1)medium · 9 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 6:01Gabe Klassen (3–1)medium · 20 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 6:44Penalty
  • 2nd 10:08Victor Eklund (3–2)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 13:24Penalty
  • 2nd 14:29Penalty
  • 2nd 14:58Harrison Brunicke (4–2)low · 30 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 1:55Atley Calvert (5–2)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 2:30Joey Larson (5–3)low · 24 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 5:44Penalty
  • 3rd 5:44Penalty
  • 3rd 10:33Liam Foudy (5–4)5v4 · grade A · 27 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 17:37Matt Luff (5–5)medium · 19 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • OT 4:22Pierrick Dubé (5–6)medium · 13 ft · beat Sergei Murashov