Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves

4:1

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

70%30%

xG: 3.22.3
High danger: 74
Chances: 126
Shots: 3027

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal27

12Scoring chances6

7High-danger chances4

3.25Expected goals2.26

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–8	4–1	3–1	1.0–0.6
2nd	11–14	4–4	1–2	1.2–1.2
3rd	12–5	4–1	3–1	1.1–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Trey Augustine

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 26
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.25
GSAx: -0.75

Amir Miftakhov

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 19
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.63
GSAx: +1.63

Pyotr Kochetkov

Shots faced: 8
Saves: 7
Allowed: 1
xGA: 0.62
GSAx: -0.38

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:47Penalty
1st 2:10Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (0–1)5v4 · low · slap · 50 ft · beat Pyotr Kochetkov
1st 5:27Penalty
1st 14:59Penalty
1st 15:10Noah Philp (1–1)4v5 · grade A · wrist · 17 ft · beat Trey Augustine
2nd 15:57Penalty
2nd 17:49Penalty
3rd 1:31Ryan Suzuki (2–1)medium · wrist · 6 ft · beat Trey Augustine
3rd 7:07Penalty
3rd 8:23Noah Philp (3–1)5v4 · low · slap · 53 ft · beat Trey Augustine
3rd 11:25Penalty
3rd 14:42Penalty
3rd 18:38Felix Unger Sörum (4–1)empty net · high · wrist · 20 ft · beat Trey Augustine