AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 10

Texas Stars at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Texas Stars
4:5
Final / SO
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

TEXMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
68%32%
xG
4.43.0
High danger
76
Chances
1514
Shots
3729

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal29
15Scoring chances14
7High-danger chances6
4.38Expected goals2.96

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–90–30–00.4–0.7
2nd13–125–82–51.3–1.6
3rd13–610–35–12.4–0.6
OT4–20–00–00.2–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX116:56 of the 3rd3:042:58+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Thomas Milic
Shots faced
37
Saves
33
Allowed
4
xGA
4.38
GSAx
+0.38
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
2.96
GSAx
-1.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:44Penalty
  • 1st 12:06Penalty
  • 1st 18:22Brayden Yager (0–1)low · 36 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 2:48Penalty
  • 2nd 4:11Parker Ford (0–2)5v4 · high · 19 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 7:42Phillip Di Giuseppe (0–3)high · 12 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 10:59Penalty
  • 2nd 12:40Walker Duehr (0–4)4v5 · medium · 16 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 14:23Penalty
  • 2nd 17:01Penalty
  • 2nd 18:21Artem Shlaine (1–4)5v4 · medium · 22 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 2nd 19:59Jack Anderson (2–4)low · 47 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 3rd 1:29Penalty
  • 3rd 1:29Penalty
  • 3rd 3:41Penalty
  • 3rd 5:57Penalty
  • 3rd 8:15Curtis McKenzie (3–4)grade A · rebound · 5 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 3rd 13:19Penalty
  • 3rd 17:18Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Artem Shlaine (4–4)grade A · 16 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • OT 0:36Penalty
  • OT 4:00Penalty