AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 10

Iowa Wild at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Iowa Wild
5:4
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

IARFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
2.73.2
High danger
57
Chances
1012
Shots
3130

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal30
10Scoring chances12
5High-danger chances7
2.73Expected goals3.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–83–42–40.7–1.2
2nd12–75–41–11.1–0.7
3rd9–152–42–20.9–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

RFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
RFD116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Samuel Hlavaj
Shots faced
30
Saves
26
Allowed
4
xGA
3.23
GSAx
-0.77
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
18
Saves
15
Allowed
3
xGA
1.43
GSAx
-1.57
Olivier Rodrigue
Shots faced
13
Saves
11
Allowed
2
xGA
1.30
GSAx
-0.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:45Penalty
  • 1st 0:45Penalty
  • 1st 0:45Penalty
  • 1st 0:45Penalty
  • 1st 1:55Penalty
  • 1st 5:54Nicolas Aubé-Kubel (1–0)medium · 14 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 6:49Penalty
  • 1st 17:08Samuel Savoie (1–1)low · 46 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 17:55Hunter Haight (2–1)low · 57 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 1:16Penalty
  • 2nd 7:39Rem Pitlick (2–2)medium · 22 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 8:36Penalty
  • 2nd 11:21Penalty
  • 2nd 11:48Hunter Haight (3–2)5v4 · low · 45 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 13:47Jamie Engelbert (3–3)high · 15 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 19:57Gerry Mayhew (4–3)high · 14 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 3rd 8:19Penalty
  • 3rd 9:54Joey Anderson (4–4)5v4 · grade A · 19 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 3rd 14:24Jean-Luc Foudy (5–4)low · 35 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue