AHLDashboard
Friday, April 10

San Jose Barracuda at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

San Jose Barracuda
6:9
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

SJHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
46%54%
xG
3.73.6
High danger
49
Chances
1516
Shots
3632

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal32
15Scoring chances16
4High-danger chances9
3.65Expected goals3.59

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st91044110.91.0
2nd161287341.81.5
3rd111035041.01.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−3−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ31:30 of the 3rd18:3016:33+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
36
Saves
30
Allowed
6
xGA
3.66
GSAx
-2.34
Shots faced
22
Saves
16
Allowed
6
xGA
2.45
GSAx
-3.55
Shots faced
9
Saves
7
Allowed
2
xGA
0.98
GSAx
-1.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:11Raphael Lavoie (0–1)low · slap · 39 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 1:30Matyas Sapovaliv (0–2)medium · wrist · 28 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 4:03Penalty
  • 1st 6:07Kasper Halttunen (1–2)5v4 · high · tip · rebound · 23 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 1st 11:28Penalty
  • 1st 16:45Penalty
  • 2nd 0:34Mitch McLain (1–3)low · wrist · 44 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 4:00Luca Cagnoni (2–3)low · snap · 17 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 2nd 4:46Penalty
  • 2nd 5:50Raphael Lavoie (2–4)5v4 · medium · snap · 26 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 6:46Filip Bystedt (3–4)grade A · wrist · rebound · 11 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 2nd 7:56Penalty
  • 2nd 9:05Colin White (4–4)5v4 · medium · snap · 44 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 2nd 15:09Penalty
  • 2nd 16:52Trevor Connelly (4–5)5v4 · low · slap · 49 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 19:39Raphael Lavoie (4–6)high · backhand · 8 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 3rd 0:10Penalty
  • 3rd 1:30Kai Uchacz (4–7)5v4 · high · slap · 10 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 4:53Penalty
  • 3rd 10:14Colin White (5–7)low · slap · 20 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 16:54Lucas Vanroboys (6–7)low · slap · 20 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 18:28Matyas Sapovaliv (6–8)empty net · high · wrist · 17 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 19:31Jakub Brabenec (6–9)empty net · medium · wrist · 19 ft