AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 11

Belleville Senators at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Belleville Senators
2:5
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

BELLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
17%83%
xG
1.42.6
High danger
14
Chances
510
Shots
1631

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal31
5Scoring chances10
1High-danger chances4
1.40Expected goals2.59

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–55–11–01.1–0.4
2nd3–150–60–20.2–1.5
3rd4–110–30–20.2–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jackson Parsons
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.80
GSAx
-1.20
Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
16
Saves
14
Allowed
2
xGA
1.40
GSAx
-0.60
Mads Søgaard
Shots faced
11
Saves
9
Allowed
2
xGA
0.78
GSAx
-1.22

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:19Tyler Boucher (1–0)medium · tip · 12 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:07Penalty
  • 1st 15:43Graeme Clarke (2–0)5v4 · low · wrist · 32 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 19:03Penalty
  • 2nd 0:43Joshua Roy (2–1)5v4 · medium · snap · 28 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 2nd 5:46Penalty
  • 2nd 6:09Alex Belzile (2–2)5v4 · medium · wrist · 20 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 2nd 7:35Penalty
  • 2nd 7:35Penalty
  • 2nd 7:35Penalty
  • 2nd 11:20Penalty
  • 2nd 11:20Penalty
  • 2nd 12:44Florian Xhekaj (2–3)low · tip · 36 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 3rd 2:59Penalty
  • 3rd 7:17Penalty
  • 3rd 9:57Penalty
  • 3rd 18:02Penalty
  • 3rd 18:27Joshua Roy (2–4)empty net · low · wrist · 84 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 19:44Joshua Roy (2–5)empty net · low · wrist · 64 ft · beat Mads Søgaard