Cleveland Monsters at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Cleveland Monsters

1:4

Final

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

CLEWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

20%80%

xG: 1.82.9
High danger: 25
Chances: 59
Shots: 2628

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

WBS above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal28

5Scoring chances9

2High-danger chances5

1.80Expected goals2.94

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	14–11	1–4	0–3	0.6–1.5
2nd	4–7	3–2	1–2	0.6–0.7
3rd	8–10	1–3	1–0	0.6–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	2	12:10 of the 3rd	7:50	6:52	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Zach Sawchenko

Shots faced: 28
Saves: 24
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.94
GSAx: -1.06

Joel Blomqvist

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 25
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.80
GSAx: +0.80

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 8:56Penalty
1st 12:29Atley Calvert (0–1)grade A · 8 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
1st 15:03Penalty
1st 19:11Penalty
2nd 1:20Penalty
2nd 9:21Penalty
2nd 10:07Penalty
2nd 14:40Penalty
3rd 2:31Penalty
3rd 12:10Aidan McDonough (0–2)low · 34 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
3rd 13:02James Malatesta (1–2)low · 28 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
3rd 13:55Penalty
3rd 14:00Aidan McDonough (1–3)5v4 · medium · 44 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
3rd 19:48Tanner Howe (1–4)empty net · low · 81 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko