AHLDashboard
Saturday, April 11

Chicago Wolves at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Chicago Wolves
3:4
Final / SO
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

CHIMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
2.83.2
High danger
43
Chances
139
Shots
2435

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal35
13Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances3
2.80Expected goals3.18

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10652311.30.8
2nd81465121.01.3
3rd31312000.21.0
OT3210000.30.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
3.18
GSAx
+0.18
Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
2.80
GSAx
-0.20

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:36Noah Philp (1–0)low · 35 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 1st 12:30Penalty
  • 1st 17:17Penalty
  • 1st 18:04Penalty
  • 2nd 1:21Nikita Pavlychev (2–0)medium · 18 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 2:46Penalty
  • 2nd 4:38Penalty
  • 2nd 6:52Noel Gunler (3–0)high · rebound · 34 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 12:59Aiden Fink (3–1)medium · 19 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 16:03Penalty
  • 2nd 16:14Aiden Fink (3–2)5v4 · high · rebound · 13 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 18:22Penalty
  • 3rd 7:54Ryder Rolston (3–3)medium · 12 ft · beat Cayden Primeau