AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 11

Rochester Americans at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Rochester Americans
3:6
Final
Providence Bruins

The sheet

ROCPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
30%70%
xG
3.04.6
High danger
58
Chances
914
Shots
2444

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 66% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal44
9Scoring chances14
5High-danger chances8
2.99Expected goals4.58

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–103–21–21.1–0.7
2nd2–240–70–40.1–2.8
3rd11–106–54–21.8–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devon Levi
Shots faced
44
Saves
38
Allowed
6
xGA
4.58
GSAx
-1.42
Simon Zajicek
Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
2.99
GSAx
-0.01

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:08Penalty
  • 1st 2:08Penalty
  • 1st 2:08Penalty
  • 1st 9:12Penalty
  • 1st 9:12Penalty
  • 1st 9:12Penalty
  • 1st 9:19Georgii Merkulov (0–1)5v4 · high · 37 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 11:59Penalty
  • 1st 14:26Fabian Lysell (0–2)high · 15 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 15:25Liam Valente (1–2)medium · 29 ft · beat Simon Zajicek
  • 2nd 8:15Penalty
  • 2nd 12:04Matěj Blümel (1–3)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 12:22Penalty
  • 2nd 12:22Penalty
  • 2nd 13:00Fabian Lysell (1–4)high · 7 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 3:42Penalty
  • 3rd 6:43Penalty
  • 3rd 11:54Penalty
  • 3rd 12:48Konsta Helenius (2–4)5v4 · high · 39 ft · beat Simon Zajicek
  • 3rd 13:22Patrick Brown (2–5)high · 22 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 17:38Riley Duran (2–6)empty net · medium · 23 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 18:02Graham Slaggert (3–6)high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Simon Zajicek