AHLDashboard
Saturday, April 11

Tucson Roadrunners at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Tucson Roadrunners
2:3
Final / OT
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

TUCCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
10%90%
xG
2.05.7
High danger
311
Chances
525
Shots
2647

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineTUC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 63% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal47
5Scoring chances25
3High-danger chances11
2.04Expected goals5.67

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st822112160.52.5
2nd101227121.01.2
3rd51015130.31.6
OT3311000.30.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
47
Saves
44
Allowed
3
xGA
5.67
GSAx
+2.67
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.04
GSAx
+0.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:22Daniil But (1–0)low · 27 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 1:41Tristen Nielsen (1–1)high · 8 ft · beat Michael Hrabal
  • 1st 9:01Penalty
  • 1st 9:57Alex Barré-Boulet (1–2)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Michael Hrabal
  • 2nd 8:56Penalty
  • 2nd 8:56Penalty
  • 2nd 15:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:03Penalty
  • 3rd 11:36Penalty
  • 3rd 13:29Robbie Russo (2–2)5v4 · low · 46 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 15:46Penalty
  • 3rd 15:46Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:50Penalty
  • OT 4:15Jacob MacDonald (2–3)medium · 23 ft · beat Michael Hrabal