AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, April 14

Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
4:1
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

CVSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
30%70%
xG
2.53.3
High danger
37
Chances
812
Shots
3135

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal35
8Scoring chances12
3High-danger chances7
2.51Expected goals3.35

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st17–62–21–11.0–0.6
2nd9–144–52–21.1–1.3
3rd5–152–50–40.4–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ212:33 of the 3rd7:277:27+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Logan Terness
Shots faced
35
Saves
34
Allowed
1
xGA
3.35
GSAx
+2.35
Laurent Brossoit
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
2.51
GSAx
-1.49

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:10Penalty
  • 1st 2:10Penalty
  • 1st 5:21Logan Morrison (1–0)high · 11 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 6:12John Hayden (2–0)low · 19 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 9:21Penalty
  • 2nd 9:10Penalty
  • 2nd 14:41Penalty
  • 3rd 1:46Penalty
  • 3rd 2:29Penalty
  • 3rd 3:10Quentin Musty (2–1)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Logan Terness
  • 3rd 12:33Cooper Marody (3–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 3rd 14:48Cooper Marody (4–1)medium · 9 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit