AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 15

Utica Comets at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Utica Comets
3:0
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

UTCBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
2.12.1
High danger
33
Chances
77
Shots
2925

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 43% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal25
7Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances3
2.11Expected goals2.14

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–61–21–20.3–0.6
2nd13–84–32–01.1–0.7
3rd11–112–20–10.7–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kevin Reidler
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.11
GSAx
-0.89
Jakub Málek
Shots faced
25
Saves
25
Allowed
0
xGA
2.14
GSAx
+2.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 13:02Angus Crookshank (1–0)high · wrist · 8 ft · beat Kevin Reidler
  • 2nd 7:36Matyas Melovsky (2–0)low · 26 ft · beat Kevin Reidler
  • 2nd 14:15Angus Crookshank (3–0)medium · snap · 32 ft · beat Kevin Reidler
  • 2nd 14:52Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 0:21Penalty
  • 3rd 6:21Penalty