Manitoba Moose at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Manitoba Moose

2:3

Final / SO

Chicago Wolves

The sheet

MBCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

61%39%

xG: 2.71.8
High danger: 32
Chances: 96
Shots: 2920

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

CHI above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal20

9Scoring chances6

3High-danger chances2

2.67Expected goals1.85

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–6	3–3	1–1	1.0–0.7
2nd	10–6	4–1	1–0	0.9–0.5
3rd	5–6	2–2	1–1	0.6–0.5
OT	3–2	0–0	0–0	0.2–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Cayden Primeau

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 27
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.67
GSAx: +0.67

Thomas Milic

Shots faced: 20
Saves: 18
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.85
GSAx: -0.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:39Viktor Neuchev (0–1)high · 9 ft · beat Thomas Milic
1st 8:08Colby Barlow (1–1)high · 11 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
1st 8:56Penalty
1st 16:41Felix Unger Sörum (1–2)medium · 11 ft · beat Thomas Milic
1st 17:48Penalty
1st 19:40Walker Duehr (2–2)5v4 · medium · 19 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
2nd 6:46Penalty
2nd 16:57Penalty
3rd 4:44Penalty
3rd 12:09Penalty