AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 15

Grand Rapids Griffins at Iowa Wild

Casey’s Center · Des Moines, IA

Grand Rapids Griffins
5:2
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

GRIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
78%22%
xG
3.22.3
High danger
63
Chances
145
Shots
2826

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 41% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal26
14Scoring chances5
6High-danger chances3
3.22Expected goals2.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–77–24–11.7–0.7
2nd6–134–32–20.7–1.3
3rd11–63–00–00.8–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

IA−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
IA212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cal Petersen
Shots faced
28
Saves
23
Allowed
5
xGA
3.22
GSAx
-1.78
Michal Postava
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.30
GSAx
+0.30

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:26Amadeus Lombardi (1–0)low · 47 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 6:31Penalty
  • 1st 14:02Tyler Angle (2–0)high · 12 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 14:29Ondrej Becher (3–0)medium · 30 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 16:22Penalty
  • 1st 17:32Wojciech Stachowiak (4–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 18:51Penalty
  • 2nd 7:29Penalty
  • 2nd 10:14Oskar Olausson (4–1)medium · 20 ft · beat Michal Postava
  • 2nd 11:31Penalty
  • 2nd 18:35David Špaček (4–2)low · 17 ft · beat Michal Postava
  • 3rd 3:32Penalty
  • 3rd 10:31Penalty
  • 3rd 15:56Penalty
  • 3rd 19:52Alex Kannok Leipert (5–2)empty net · low · 118 ft · beat Cal Petersen