AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 17

Syracuse Crunch at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Syracuse Crunch
4:6
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

SYRBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
34%66%
xG
2.53.4
High danger
47
Chances
1014
Shots
2832

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 41% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal32
10Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances7
2.46Expected goals3.42

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–101–21–00.7–0.6
2nd7–114–72–30.8–1.3
3rd10–115–51–40.9–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−3−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR34:40 of the 3rd15:2013:50+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kevin Reidler
Shots faced
28
Saves
24
Allowed
4
xGA
2.46
GSAx
-1.54
Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.74
GSAx
-0.26
Harrison Meneghin
Shots faced
5
Saves
2
Allowed
3
xGA
0.68
GSAx
-2.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:28Penalty
  • 1st 9:28Penalty
  • 1st 13:54Penalty
  • 1st 17:48Penalty
  • 2nd 4:04Penalty
  • 2nd 6:06Hoyt Stanley (0–1)medium · 20 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 7:01Penalty
  • 2nd 13:02Penalty
  • 3rd 2:05Blake Montgomery (0–2)medium · 24 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 4:40Arthur Kaliyev (0–3)grade A · rebound · 19 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 8:38Ethan Samson (1–3)low · 69 ft · beat Kevin Reidler
  • 3rd 9:03Xavier Bourgault (1–4)low · 39 ft · beat Harrison Meneghin
  • 3rd 12:47Gabriel Szturc (2–4)low · 40 ft · beat Kevin Reidler
  • 3rd 13:06Penalty
  • 3rd 13:06Penalty
  • 3rd 13:06Ethan Samson (3–4)medium · 16 ft · beat Kevin Reidler
  • 3rd 14:11Xavier Bourgault (3–5)high · 16 ft · beat Harrison Meneghin
  • 3rd 17:03Gabriel Szturc (4–5)medium · 22 ft · beat Kevin Reidler
  • 3rd 18:40Keean Washkurak (4–6)empty net · low · 50 ft · beat Harrison Meneghin