Grand Rapids Griffins at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Grand Rapids Griffins

8:0

Final

Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

GRMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

82%18%

xG: 4.32.2
High danger: 73
Chances: 199
Shots: 3824

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

MIL above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 41% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal24

19Scoring chances9

7High-danger chances3

4.31Expected goals2.20

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	16–6	6–3	3–0	1.4–0.5
2nd	13–13	8–6	2–3	1.6–1.4
3rd	9–5	5–0	2–0	1.2–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
MIL	6	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.001 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matthew Murray

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 20
Allowed: 5
xGA: 2.79
GSAx: -2.21

Michal Postava

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 24
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.20
GSAx: +2.20

Magnus Chrona

Shots faced: 13
Saves: 10
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.52
GSAx: -1.48

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:09Eduards Tralmaks (1–0)medium · 21 ft · beat Matthew Murray
1st 8:49Jakub Rychlovský (2–0)high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Matthew Murray
1st 14:07William Wallinder (3–0)medium · rebound · 40 ft · beat Matthew Murray
1st 15:07Penalty
2nd 4:57Penalty
2nd 6:39Penalty
2nd 8:54Jakub Rychlovský (4–0)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Matthew Murray
2nd 10:27Amadeus Lombardi (5–0)high · 9 ft · beat Matthew Murray
2nd 15:35Penalty
2nd 17:27Anton Johansson (6–0)5v4 · medium · 27 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
2nd 17:44Penalty
3rd 2:54Erik Gustafsson (7–0)low · 31 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
3rd 3:07Penalty
3rd 6:48Penalty
3rd 9:31Penalty
3rd 9:31Penalty
3rd 9:31Penalty
3rd 12:47John Leonard (8–0)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Magnus Chrona