AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 17

San Jose Barracuda at Bakersfield Condors

Dignity Health Arena · Bakersfield, CA

San Jose Barracuda
2:5
Final
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

SJBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
4.04.3
High danger
88
Chances
1418
Shots
3031

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal31
14Scoring chances18
8High-danger chances8
3.96Expected goals4.28

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–94–51–20.9–1.4
2nd12–119–67–22.6–1.3
3rd10–111–70–40.5–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Laurent Brossoit
Shots faced
31
Saves
26
Allowed
5
xGA
4.28
GSAx
-0.72
Matt Tomkins
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
3.96
GSAx
+1.96

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:46Sam Poulin (0–1)medium · tip · 11 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 6:08Penalty
  • 1st 8:16Penalty
  • 1st 14:16Penalty
  • 1st 15:48Isaac Howard (0–2)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 13 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 18:48Penalty
  • 2nd 7:11Penalty
  • 2nd 9:29Sam Poulin (0–3)medium · wrist · 16 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 11:35Brendan Hoffmann (1–3)grade A · wrist · rebound · 9 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 13:09Penalty
  • 2nd 13:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:53Penalty
  • 3rd 7:34Penalty
  • 3rd 7:34Penalty
  • 3rd 9:30Filip Bystedt (2–3)low · wrist · 52 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 10:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:39Roby Järventie (2–4)5v4 · medium · wrist · 33 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 3rd 19:15Penalty
  • 3rd 19:15Penalty
  • 3rd 19:15Roby Järventie (2–5)empty net · high · slap · 11 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit