AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 17

San Diego Gulls at Ontario Reign

Toyota Arena · Ontario, CA

San Diego Gulls
1:4
Final
Ontario Reign

The sheet

SDONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
22%78%
xG
2.22.9
High danger
27
Chances
916
Shots
2431

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal31
9Scoring chances16
2High-danger chances7
2.17Expected goals2.93

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–104–21–21.1–0.6
2nd7–132–111–30.6–1.6
3rd4–83–30–20.5–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD311:57 of the 3rd8:038:03+0.011 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Damian Clara
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
2.93
GSAx
-1.07
Hampton Slukynsky
Shots faced
24
Saves
23
Allowed
1
xGA
2.17
GSAx
+1.17

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:44Penalty
  • 1st 9:26Cal Burke (1–0)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Hampton Slukynsky
  • 1st 13:13Penalty
  • 1st 19:27Nikita Alexandrov (1–1)high · 16 ft · beat Damian Clara
  • 1st 19:41Penalty
  • 2nd 1:30Penalty
  • 2nd 3:11Martin Chromiak (1–2)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Damian Clara
  • 2nd 13:43Nikita Alexandrov (1–3)medium · 18 ft · beat Damian Clara
  • 2nd 15:40Penalty
  • 2nd 16:48Penalty
  • 3rd 10:22Penalty
  • 3rd 10:52Penalty
  • 3rd 11:57Kenny Connors (1–4)5v4 · high · 39 ft · beat Damian Clara
  • 3rd 17:15Penalty
  • 3rd 17:15Penalty
  • 3rd 17:15Penalty