AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 18

Rockford IceHogs at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Rockford IceHogs
1:5
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

RFDTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
6%94%
xG
1.34.9
High danger
110
Chances
323
Shots
2036

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 62% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal36
3Scoring chances23
1High-danger chances10
1.28Expected goals4.95

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–101–50–10.7–1.1
2nd6–81–41–10.4–0.8
3rd3–181–140–80.3–3.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

RFD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
RFD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Stanislav Berezhnoy
Shots faced
36
Saves
31
Allowed
5
xGA
4.95
GSAx
-0.05
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
20
Saves
19
Allowed
1
xGA
1.28
GSAx
+0.28

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:54Penalty
  • 1st 6:01Antonio Stranges (0–1)5v4 · low · wrist · 42 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy
  • 1st 9:23Penalty
  • 1st 11:47Samuel Savoie (1–1)medium · snap · rebound · 22 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 12:11Penalty
  • 2nd 15:31Harrison Scott (1–2)low · wrist · 35 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy
  • 3rd 7:56Dylan Hryckowian (1–3)grade A · snap · rebound · 12 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy
  • 3rd 13:00Luke Krys (1–4)medium · wrist · 30 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy
  • 3rd 15:43Penalty
  • 3rd 15:43Penalty
  • 3rd 17:06Penalty
  • 3rd 17:06Penalty
  • 3rd 17:55Tristan Bertucci (1–5)medium · wrist · 20 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy