AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 18

Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
6:4
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CVSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
88%12%
xG
3.21.5
High danger
51
Chances
93
Shots
3225

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal25
9Scoring chances3
5High-danger chances1
3.24Expected goals1.48

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–74–13–01.4–0.4
2nd13–83–02–01.2–0.4
3rd8–102–20–10.6–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD118:24 of the 3rd1:361:36+0.038 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Tomas Suchanek
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
3.21
GSAx
-1.79
Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
25
Saves
21
Allowed
4
xGA
1.48
GSAx
-2.52
Calle Clang
Shots faced
1
Saves
1
Allowed
0
xGA
0.02
GSAx
+0.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:16Penalty
  • 1st 12:20Sam Colangelo (0–1)5v4 · low · 47 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 15:27Justin Bailey (0–2)low · 43 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 17:08Penalty
  • 1st 17:55Eduard Šalé (1–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 25 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 0:27Jacob Melanson (2–2)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 9:12Cooper Marody (3–2)high · rebound · 31 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 10:42Ty Nelson (4–2)low · 57 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 16:26Matt Basgall (4–3)low · 54 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 18:12Penalty
  • 3rd 11:35Stian Solberg (4–4)low · 59 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 14:10Penalty
  • 3rd 18:24Logan Morrison (5–4)low · 31 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 3rd 19:08Jacob Melanson (6–4)empty net · low · 142 ft