AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 18

Calgary Wranglers at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Calgary Wranglers
7:5
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

CGYCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.96.1
High danger
710
Chances
1225
Shots
3049

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 76% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal49
12Scoring chances25
7High-danger chances10
2.94Expected goals6.12

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–151–80–30.4–2.1
2nd12–187–124–61.4–2.8
3rd10–164–53–11.1–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Arsenii Sergeev
Shots faced
49
Saves
44
Allowed
5
xGA
6.12
GSAx
+1.12
Isak Posch
Shots faced
30
Saves
23
Allowed
7
xGA
2.94
GSAx
-4.06

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:21Penalty
  • 1st 4:29Gavin Brindley (0–1)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 1st 5:25Luke Toporowski (0–2)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 1st 7:58Penalty
  • 1st 12:04Penalty
  • 1st 12:16Penalty
  • 1st 12:35Jacob MacDonald (0–3)5v4 · low · 43 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 2nd 0:14T.J. Hughes (0–4)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 2nd 1:51Brennan Othmann (1–4)high · 12 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 2nd 3:35Daniil Miromanov (2–4)medium · 10 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 2nd 5:21Penalty
  • 2nd 7:49Penalty
  • 2nd 10:42Nick Cicek (3–4)low · 39 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 2nd 13:03Penalty
  • 2nd 13:18Penalty
  • 2nd 13:39Ronnie Attard (3–5)high · 8 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 2nd 14:10Penalty
  • 2nd 16:13Penalty
  • 2nd 16:13Penalty
  • 2nd 16:13Clark Bishop (4–5)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 2nd 17:54Penalty
  • 3rd 5:04Parker Bell (5–5)low · 34 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 3rd 6:34Penalty
  • 3rd 7:54Martin Frk (6–5)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 3rd 10:15Penalty
  • 3rd 19:08Martin Frk (7–5)empty net · low · 133 ft · beat Isak Posch