AHLDashboard
Sunday, April 19

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
1:4
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

LVCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
46%54%
xG
2.22.3
High danger
44
Chances
118
Shots
1627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 67% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal27
11Scoring chances8
4High-danger chances4
2.20Expected goals2.29

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5832100.60.5
2nd6741110.90.5
3rd51245230.71.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV37:10 of the 3rd12:5012:50+0.018 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.29
GSAx
-1.71
Shots faced
11
Saves
11
Allowed
0
xGA
1.51
GSAx
+1.51
Shots faced
5
Saves
4
Allowed
1
xGA
0.69
GSAx
-0.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:07Penalty
  • 1st 8:15Penalty
  • 1st 13:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:41Penalty
  • 1st 16:29Sandis Vilmanis (0–1)5v4 · low · 63 ft · beat Yaniv Perets
  • 2nd 6:59Penalty
  • 2nd 7:37Penalty
  • 2nd 17:03Penalty
  • 2nd 17:51Penalty
  • 3rd 0:25Ben Steeves (0–2)5v4 · low · 63 ft · beat Yaniv Perets
  • 3rd 2:50Penalty
  • 3rd 3:55Penalty
  • 3rd 3:55Penalty
  • 3rd 5:44Penalty
  • 3rd 6:00Penalty
  • 3rd 6:39Penalty
  • 3rd 6:39Penalty
  • 3rd 7:10Jack Studnicka (0–3)5v4 · low · 38 ft · beat Yaniv Perets
  • 3rd 12:38Jack Berglund (1–3)high · 6 ft · beat Kirill Gerasimyuk
  • 3rd 15:05Penalty
  • 3rd 15:05Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Jack Studnicka (1–4)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Yaniv Perets
  • 3rd 19:45Penalty