AHLDashboard
Sunday, April 19

Rochester Americans at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Rochester Americans
4:5
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

ROCHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
3.63.7
High danger
38
Chances
1214
Shots
4431

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

44Shots on goal31
12Scoring chances14
3High-danger chances8
3.62Expected goals3.69

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st23750001.50.3
2nd1314410261.32.3
3rd8832120.80.8
OT0202000.00.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
44
Saves
40
Allowed
4
xGA
3.62
GSAx
-0.38
Shots faced
31
Saves
26
Allowed
5
xGA
3.69
GSAx
-1.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:39Penalty
  • 2nd 1:27Penalty
  • 2nd 1:27Penalty
  • 2nd 1:27Penalty
  • 2nd 1:36Trevor Kuntar (1–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 23 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 6:02Penalty
  • 2nd 9:35Bogdan Trineyev (1–1)5v4 · low · 25 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 10:41Penalty
  • 2nd 12:36Penalty
  • 2nd 13:37Ilya Protas (1–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 5 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 14:06Konsta Helenius (2–2)low · 33 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 17:21Penalty
  • 3rd 3:16Jake Leschyshyn (3–2)medium · 10 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 5:49Wyatt Bongiovanni (3–3)low · 47 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 10:31Andrew Cristall (3–4)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 10:56Penalty
  • 3rd 12:45Carson Meyer (4–4)5v4 · low · 56 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • OT 2:26Ivan Miroshnichenko (4–5)medium · 8 ft · beat Devon Levi