Grand Rapids Griffins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Grand Rapids Griffins

4:6

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

GRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

19%81%

xG: 2.14.4
High danger: 312
Chances: 919
Shots: 1835

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal35

9Scoring chances19

3High-danger chances12

2.07Expected goals4.39

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	3–17	2–8	0–4	0.4–1.6
2nd	10–8	4–5	2–5	1.1–1.4
3rd	5–10	3–6	1–3	0.6–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 19
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.77
GSAx: -0.23

Trey Augustine

Shots faced: 13
Saves: 10
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.62
GSAx: -1.38

Ivan Fedotov

Shots faced: 12
Saves: 11
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.22
GSAx: +0.22

Zach Sawchenko

Shots faced: 6
Saves: 3
Allowed: 3
xGA: 0.84
GSAx: -2.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:36Penalty
1st 2:26Mikael Pyyhtiä (0–1)4v5 · medium · 25 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
1st 4:33Dylan James (1–1)medium · 31 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 0:21Dylan James (2–1)high · 9 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 4:45Jesse Kiiskinen (3–1)low · 26 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 6:54Penalty
2nd 7:57Mikael Pyyhtiä (3–2)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 10:17Justin Pearson (3–3)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 14:28Alex Doucet (4–3)high · 9 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
3rd 7:09Luca Pinelli (4–4)low · 30 ft · beat Trey Augustine
3rd 7:54Penalty
3rd 7:54Penalty
3rd 11:04Penalty
3rd 13:29Zach Aston-Reese (4–5)medium · 27 ft · beat Trey Augustine
3rd 18:12Brendan Gaunce (4–6)empty net · low · 147 ft · beat Trey Augustine
3rd 19:46Penalty
3rd 19:46Penalty