Abbotsford Canucks at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Abbotsford Canucks

4:2

Final

Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

ABBCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

67%33%

xG: 3.52.8
High danger: 73
Chances: 178
Shots: 3032

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CV above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal32

17Scoring chances8

7High-danger chances3

3.54Expected goals2.84

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–10	4–3	1–2	0.7–1.3
2nd	13–11	10–2	4–1	1.9–0.8
3rd	9–11	3–3	2–0	1.0–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CV	3	4:22 of the 3rd	15:38	8:17	+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ty Young

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 30
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.84
GSAx: +0.84

Victor Östman

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 26
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.54
GSAx: -0.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:41Penalty
1st 5:38Penalty
1st 12:36Danila Klimovich (1–0)medium · 22 ft · beat Victor Östman
1st 14:48Penalty
2nd 1:45Eduard Šalé (1–1)low · 60 ft · beat Ty Young
2nd 6:21Penalty
2nd 10:04Chase Wouters (2–1)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Victor Östman
2nd 12:06Penalty
2nd 18:18Ben Berard (3–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Victor Östman
3rd 4:22Joe Arntsen (4–1)low · 58 ft · beat Victor Östman
3rd 4:48Charlie Wright (4–2)low · 58 ft · beat Ty Young
3rd 10:18Penalty