AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 22

San Diego Gulls at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

San Diego Gulls
0:3
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

SDCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
23%77%
xG
1.62.9
High danger
45
Chances
815
Shots
1827

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal27
8Scoring chances15
4High-danger chances5
1.61Expected goals2.89

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–114–61–10.6–1.2
2nd6–94–43–10.8–0.8
3rd6–70–50–30.2–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Damian Clara
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.89
GSAx
-0.11
Trent Miner
Shots faced
18
Saves
18
Allowed
0
xGA
1.61
GSAx
+1.61

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:33Penalty
  • 1st 10:33Penalty
  • 1st 12:39Penalty
  • 1st 14:07T.J. Tynan (0–1)5v4 · medium · 7 ft · beat Damian Clara
  • 1st 17:33Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 2:38Tristen Nielsen (0–2)medium · 20 ft · beat Damian Clara
  • 2nd 3:25Penalty
  • 2nd 6:05Penalty
  • 2nd 11:26Penalty
  • 2nd 15:23Penalty
  • 3rd 19:10Taylor Makar (0–3)empty net · medium · 27 ft · beat Damian Clara