Syracuse Crunch at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Syracuse Crunch

2:3

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

SYRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

85%15%

xG: 2.51.2
High danger: 41
Chances: 95
Shots: 3115

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal15

9Scoring chances5

4High-danger chances1

2.53Expected goals1.19

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	3–6	1–3	0–0	0.2–0.6
2nd	11–5	2–2	0–1	0.6–0.4
3rd	17–4	6–0	4–0	1.8–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SYR	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Zach Sawchenko

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 29
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.53
GSAx: +0.53

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 9
Saves: 9
Allowed: 0
xGA: 0.59
GSAx: +0.59

Jon Gillies

Shots faced: 6
Saves: 3
Allowed: 3
xGA: 0.60
GSAx: -2.40

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:35Justin Pearson (0–1)medium · snap · 13 ft · beat Jon Gillies
1st 13:13Penalty
1st 13:13Penalty
1st 14:26Will Butcher (0–2)medium · snap · 36 ft · beat Jon Gillies
1st 18:20Corson Ceulemans (0–3)medium · snap · 28 ft · beat Jon Gillies
1st 19:43Penalty
1st 19:43Penalty
2nd 1:51Dylan Duke (1–3)low · snap · 25 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
3rd 4:02Mitchell Chaffee (2–3)high · snap · 16 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
3rd 4:33Penalty
3rd 4:33Penalty