AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 24

Springfield Thunderbirds at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Springfield Thunderbirds
5:2
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

SPRCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
72%28%
xG
2.72.1
High danger
52
Chances
104
Shots
2331

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 64% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal31
10Scoring chances4
5High-danger chances2
2.69Expected goals2.05

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–81–01–00.6–0.3
2nd11–146–33–21.5–1.2
3rd6–93–11–00.6–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT216:47 of the 3rd3:133:13+0.014 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
31
Saves
29
Allowed
2
xGA
2.05
GSAx
+0.05
Cooper Black
Shots faced
23
Saves
18
Allowed
5
xGA
2.68
GSAx
-2.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:52Trevor Carrick (0–1)low · 54 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 2:09Penalty
  • 2nd 7:57Wyatt Newpower (1–1)low · 44 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 8:49Ludvig Jansson (1–2)low · 16 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 9:33Penalty
  • 2nd 9:33Penalty
  • 2nd 9:33Penalty
  • 2nd 10:03Penalty
  • 2nd 16:16Zach Dean (2–2)medium · 20 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 16:30Penalty
  • 2nd 17:05Chris Wagner (3–2)5v4 · high · 25 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 3rd 16:23Penalty
  • 3rd 16:47Hugh McGing (4–2)4v5 · medium · 25 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 3rd 17:28Chris Wagner (5–2)empty net · high · 20 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 3rd 19:39Penalty
  • 3rd 19:39Penalty
  • 3rd 19:39Penalty
  • 3rd 19:39Penalty
  • 3rd 19:39Penalty
  • 3rd 19:39Penalty