AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 24

Toronto Marlies at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Toronto Marlies
0:4
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

TORROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
46%54%
xG
2.32.1
High danger
44
Chances
710
Shots
2924

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal24
7Scoring chances10
4High-danger chances4
2.31Expected goals2.06

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–104–73–21.0–1.2
2nd9–71–11–10.5–0.4
3rd12–72–20–10.9–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TOR−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TOR38:19 of the 3rd11:4111:41+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devon Levi
Shots faced
29
Saves
29
Allowed
0
xGA
2.31
GSAx
+2.31
Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
24
Saves
20
Allowed
4
xGA
2.06
GSAx
-1.94

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:26Penalty
  • 1st 13:15Penalty
  • 1st 13:20Konsta Helenius (0–1)5v4 · medium · 43 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 16:58Carson Meyer (0–2)medium · 34 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 18:37Penalty
  • 2nd 5:59Penalty
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 3rd 8:19Vsevolod Komarov (0–3)low · 62 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 9:44Penalty
  • 3rd 16:18Penalty
  • 3rd 16:18Penalty
  • 3rd 18:13Penalty
  • 3rd 18:13Penalty
  • 3rd 18:54Ryan Johnson (0–4)empty net · low · 177 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov