Syracuse Crunch at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Syracuse Crunch

4:1

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

SYRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

48%52%

xG: 1.62.2
High danger: 21
Chances: 77
Shots: 1633

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal33

7Scoring chances7

2High-danger chances1

1.58Expected goals2.22

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–9	3–1	1–0	0.8–0.5
2nd	4–9	2–2	0–0	0.4–0.6
3rd	4–15	2–4	1–1	0.4–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 32
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.22
GSAx: +1.22

Evan Gardner

Shots faced: 10
Saves: 10
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.03
GSAx: +1.03

Ivan Fedotov

Shots faced: 6
Saves: 2
Allowed: 4
xGA: 0.55
GSAx: -3.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:52Lucas Mercuri (1–0)grade A · backhand · rebound · 11 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
1st 10:18Gabriel Szturc (2–0)low · snap · 47 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
1st 11:07Jakob Pelletier (3–0)low · snap · 50 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
1st 13:15Tommy Miller (4–0)low · wrist · 46 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
1st 16:11Penalty
1st 16:11Penalty
2nd 12:01Penalty
2nd 15:56Penalty
2nd 19:53Penalty
2nd 19:53Penalty
2nd 19:53Penalty
2nd 19:53Penalty
2nd 19:53Penalty
3rd 1:44Penalty
3rd 1:44Penalty
3rd 1:44Penalty
3rd 3:02Penalty
3rd 6:54Mikael Pyyhtiä (4–1)low · wrist · 28 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
3rd 9:32Penalty
3rd 11:51Penalty
3rd 11:51Penalty
3rd 19:02Penalty
3rd 19:02Penalty